ALL |
META-ANALYSIS |
CITATIONS |
|
Benefit-Cost Summary Statistics Per Participant | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benefits to: | ||||||
Taxpayers | $563 | Benefits minus costs | $1,763 | |||
Participants | $1,295 | Benefit to cost ratio | $15.97 | |||
Others | $48 | Chance the program will produce | ||||
Indirect | ($25) | benefits greater than the costs | 63% | |||
Total benefits | $1,881 | |||||
Net program cost | ($118) | |||||
Benefits minus cost | $1,763 | |||||
Meta-Analysis of Program Effects | ||||||||||||
Outcomes measured | Treatment age | No. of effect sizes | Treatment N | Adjusted effect sizes(ES) and standard errors(SE) used in the benefit - cost analysis | Unadjusted effect size (random effects model) | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First time ES is estimated | Second time ES is estimated | |||||||||||
ES | SE | Age | ES | SE | Age | ES | p-value | |||||
Smoking before end of middle school Any smoking of tobacco by the end of middle school, typically by age 13. |
13 | 8 | 3617 | -0.028 | 0.033 | 14 | -0.028 | 0.033 | 14 | -0.083 | 0.012 | |
Cannabis use before end of middle school Any use of cannabis by the end of middle school, typically by age 13. |
13 | 4 | 3056 | -0.014 | 0.033 | 14 | -0.014 | 0.033 | 14 | -0.041 | 0.217 | |
Alcohol use before end of middle school Any use of alcohol by the end of middle school, typically by age 13. |
13 | 5 | 3150 | -0.026 | 0.033 | 14 | -0.026 | 0.033 | 14 | -0.080 | 0.017 | |
Internalizing symptoms Symptoms of internalizing behavior (e.g., sadness, anxiety, or withdrawal) measured on a validated scale. |
13 | 4 | 3092 | -0.018 | 0.091 | 14 | -0.018 | 0.091 | 16 | -0.054 | 0.549 | |
Alcohol use before end of high school Any use of alcohol by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18. |
13 | 3 | 280 | 0.034 | 0.074 | 18 | 0.034 | 0.074 | 18 | 0.028 | 0.702 | |
Smoking before end of high school Any smoking of tobacco by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18. |
13 | 4 | 359 | -0.076 | 0.073 | 18 | -0.076 | 0.073 | 18 | -0.128 | 0.129 | |
Cannabis use before end of high school Any use of cannabis by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18. |
13 | 3 | 280 | 0.000 | 0.077 | 18 | 0.000 | 0.077 | 18 | -0.007 | 0.398 | |
Problem alcohol use Alcohol use reflecting problem behaviors (e.g., high frequency drinking, binge drinking, or drinking that has a high impact on daily life) for individuals who do not have an alcohol use disorder. |
13 | 2 | 1947 | -0.059 | 0.116 | 15 | -0.059 | 0.116 | 25 | -0.241 | 0.421 |
Detailed Monetary Benefit Estimates Per Participant | ||||||
Affected outcome: | Resulting benefits:1 | Benefits accrue to: | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taxpayers | Participants | Others2 | Indirect3 | Total |
||
Problem alcohol use | Labor market earnings associated with problem alcohol use | $544 | $1,282 | $0 | $0 | $1,826 |
Property loss associated with problem alcohol use | $0 | $3 | $6 | $0 | $9 | |
Health care associated with problem alcohol use | $33 | $6 | $36 | $16 | $92 | |
Mortality associated with problem alcohol | $2 | $4 | $0 | $25 | $31 | |
Internalizing symptoms | K-12 grade repetition | $1 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $1 |
Alcohol use before end of high school | Criminal justice system | ($16) | $0 | ($39) | ($8) | ($63) |
Program cost | Adjustment for deadweight cost of program | $0 | $0 | $0 | ($59) | ($14) |
Totals | $563 | $1,295 | $48 | ($25) | $1,881 | |
Detailed Annual Cost Estimates Per Participant | ||||
Annual cost | Year dollars | Summary | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Program costs | $34 | 2013 | Present value of net program costs (in 2022 dollars) | ($118) |
Comparison costs | $0 | 2013 | Cost range (+ or -) | 10% |
Benefits Minus Costs |
Benefits by Perspective |
Taxpayer Benefits by Source of Value |
Benefits Minus Costs Over Time (Cumulative Discounted Dollars) |
The graph above illustrates the estimated cumulative net benefits per-participant for the first fifty years beyond the initial investment in the program. We present these cash flows in discounted dollars. If the dollars are negative (bars below $0 line), the cumulative benefits do not outweigh the cost of the program up to that point in time. The program breaks even when the dollars reach $0. At this point, the total benefits to participants, taxpayers, and others, are equal to the cost of the program. If the dollars are above $0, the benefits of the program exceed the initial investment. |
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