ALL |
META-ANALYSIS |
CITATIONS |
|
Benefit-Cost Summary Statistics Per Participant | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benefits to: | ||||||
Taxpayers | $1,223 | Benefits minus costs | $3,269 | |||
Participants | $1,597 | Benefit to cost ratio | $5.69 | |||
Others | $1,186 | Chance the program will produce | ||||
Indirect | ($39) | benefits greater than the costs | 87% | |||
Total benefits | $3,967 | |||||
Net program cost | ($698) | |||||
Benefits minus cost | $3,269 | |||||
Meta-Analysis of Program Effects | ||||||||||||
Outcomes measured | Treatment age | No. of effect sizes | Treatment N | Adjusted effect sizes(ES) and standard errors(SE) used in the benefit - cost analysis | Unadjusted effect size (random effects model) | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First time ES is estimated | Second time ES is estimated | |||||||||||
ES | SE | Age | ES | SE | Age | ES | p-value | |||||
Crime Any criminal conviction according to court records, sometimes measured through charges, arrests, incarceration, or self-report. |
10 | 1 | 2405 | -0.059 | 0.038 | 17 | -0.059 | 0.038 | 27 | -0.154 | 0.025 | |
Alcohol use before end of high school Any use of alcohol by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18. |
10 | 1 | 2405 | -0.082 | 0.055 | 17 | -0.082 | 0.055 | 18 | -0.217 | 0.048 | |
Smoking before end of high school Any smoking of tobacco by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18. |
10 | 1 | 2405 | -0.051 | 0.037 | 17 | -0.051 | 0.037 | 18 | -0.135 | 0.046 | |
Cannabis use before end of high school Any use of cannabis by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18. |
10 | 1 | 2405 | -0.033 | 0.037 | 17 | -0.033 | 0.037 | 18 | -0.086 | 0.253 | |
Illicit drug use before end of high school Any use of illicit drugs by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 to 18. When possible, we exclude cannabis/marijuana use disorder from this outcome. |
10 | 1 | 2405 | -0.019 | 0.037 | 17 | -0.019 | 0.037 | 18 | -0.051 | 0.344 |
Detailed Monetary Benefit Estimates Per Participant | ||||||
Affected outcome: | Resulting benefits:1 | Benefits accrue to: | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taxpayers | Participants | Others2 | Indirect3 | Total |
||
Crime | Criminal justice system | $457 | $0 | $1,079 | $228 | $1,764 |
Alcohol use before end of high school | Labor market earnings associated with alcohol abuse or dependence | $664 | $1,564 | $0 | $0 | $2,228 |
Property loss associated with alcohol abuse or dependence | $0 | $2 | $3 | $0 | $5 | |
Smoking before end of high school | Health care associated with smoking | $101 | $28 | $104 | $50 | $284 |
Mortality associated with smoking | $1 | $2 | $0 | $31 | $34 | |
Program cost | Adjustment for deadweight cost of program | $0 | $0 | $0 | ($349) | ($349) |
Totals | $1,223 | $1,597 | $1,186 | ($39) | $3,967 | |
Detailed Annual Cost Estimates Per Participant | ||||
Annual cost | Year dollars | Summary | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Program costs | $103 | 2004 | Present value of net program costs (in 2022 dollars) | ($698) |
Comparison costs | $0 | 2004 | Cost range (+ or -) | 30% |
Benefits Minus Costs |
Benefits by Perspective |
Taxpayer Benefits by Source of Value |
Benefits Minus Costs Over Time (Cumulative Discounted Dollars) |
The graph above illustrates the estimated cumulative net benefits per-participant for the first fifty years beyond the initial investment in the program. We present these cash flows in discounted dollars. If the dollars are negative (bars below $0 line), the cumulative benefits do not outweigh the cost of the program up to that point in time. The program breaks even when the dollars reach $0. At this point, the total benefits to participants, taxpayers, and others, are equal to the cost of the program. If the dollars are above $0, the benefits of the program exceed the initial investment. |
Kuklinski, M.R., Fagan, A.A., Hawkins, J.D., Briney, J.S., & Catalano, R.F. (2015). Benefit-cost analysis of a randomized evaluation of Communities That Care: monetizing intervention effects on the initiation of delinquency and substance use through grade 12. Journal of Experimental Criminology, 11(2), 165-192.