ALL |
META-ANALYSIS |
CITATIONS |
|
Benefit-Cost Summary Statistics Per Participant | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benefits to: | ||||||
Taxpayers | $1,003 | Benefits minus costs | ($19,686) | |||
Participants | $1,266 | Benefit to cost ratio | ($0.33) | |||
Others | ($53) | Chance the program will produce | ||||
Indirect | ($7,133) | benefits greater than the costs | 9% | |||
Total benefits | ($4,917) | |||||
Net program cost | ($14,768) | |||||
Benefits minus cost | ($19,686) | |||||
Meta-Analysis of Program Effects | ||||||||||||
Outcomes measured | Treatment age | No. of effect sizes | Treatment N | Adjusted effect sizes(ES) and standard errors(SE) used in the benefit - cost analysis | Unadjusted effect size (random effects model) | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First time ES is estimated | Second time ES is estimated | |||||||||||
ES | SE | Age | ES | SE | Age | ES | p-value | |||||
Dropout^ Leaves school for any reason before completing school with a high school diploma. |
12 | 1 | 264 | -0.113 | 0.302 | 13 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.113 | 0.709 | |
K-12 grade repetition Repeating a grade. This is sometimes called "grade retention." |
12 | 1 | 264 | -0.345 | 0.212 | 13 | -0.345 | 0.212 | 13 | -0.345 | 0.104 | |
Truancy^ A pattern of unexcused absences from school. |
12 | 1 | 144 | 0.384 | 0.178 | 14 | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0.384 | 0.031 | |
Office discipline referrals^ Referrals of a student to an administrative office for disciplinary reasons. |
12 | 1 | 176 | 0.428 | 0.155 | 14 | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0.428 | 0.006 | |
Alcohol use before end of middle school Any use of alcohol by the end of middle school, typically by age 13. |
12 | 1 | 144 | -0.141 | 0.165 | 13 | -0.141 | 0.165 | 13 | -0.141 | 0.391 | |
Teen pregnancy (under age 18)^ Becoming pregnant (or getting someone else pregnant) before age 18. |
12 | 1 | 264 | -0.272 | 0.352 | 13 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.272 | 0.440 | |
Illicit drug use before end of high school Any use of illicit drugs by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 to 18. When possible, we exclude cannabis/marijuana use disorder from this outcome. |
12 | 3 | 672 | -0.053 | 0.154 | 14 | -0.053 | 0.154 | 18 | -0.053 | 0.732 | |
School attendance^ Number or percentage of school days present in a given enrollment period. |
12 | 1 | 264 | -0.030 | 0.250 | 13 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.030 | 0.906 | |
Status offense^ A non-criminal act that is considered a law violation because the person committing the act is a juvenile. |
12 | 1 | 144 | 0.379 | 0.150 | 13 | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0.379 | 0.012 | |
Crime Any criminal conviction according to court records, sometimes measured through charges, arrests, incarceration, or self-report. |
12 | 2 | 408 | 0.008 | 0.178 | 14 | 0.008 | 0.178 | 22 | 0.008 | 0.962 |
Detailed Monetary Benefit Estimates Per Participant | ||||||
Affected outcome: | Resulting benefits:1 | Benefits accrue to: | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taxpayers | Participants | Others2 | Indirect3 | Total |
||
Crime | Criminal justice system | ($73) | $0 | ($177) | ($36) | ($286) |
Labor market earnings associated with high school graduation | ($46) | ($108) | ($59) | $0 | ($213) | |
Costs of higher education | $7 | $10 | $3 | $3 | $24 | |
K-12 grade repetition | K-12 grade repetition | $375 | $0 | $0 | $188 | $563 |
Alcohol use before end of middle school | Labor market earnings associated with alcohol abuse or dependence | $567 | $1,335 | $0 | $0 | $1,901 |
Property loss associated with alcohol abuse or dependence | $0 | $2 | $3 | $0 | $5 | |
Mortality associated with alcohol | $1 | $2 | $0 | $10 | $13 | |
Illicit drug use before end of high school | Health care associated with illicit drug abuse or dependence | $172 | $27 | $177 | $86 | $462 |
Program cost | Adjustment for deadweight cost of program | $0 | $0 | $0 | ($7,384) | ($7,384) |
Totals | $1,003 | $1,266 | ($53) | ($7,133) | ($4,917) | |
Detailed Annual Cost Estimates Per Participant | ||||
Annual cost | Year dollars | Summary | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Program costs | $4,667 | 1999 | Present value of net program costs (in 2022 dollars) | ($14,768) |
Comparison costs | $0 | 1999 | Cost range (+ or -) | 30% |
Benefits Minus Costs |
Benefits by Perspective |
Taxpayer Benefits by Source of Value |
Benefits Minus Costs Over Time (Cumulative Discounted Dollars) |
The graph above illustrates the estimated cumulative net benefits per-participant for the first fifty years beyond the initial investment in the program. We present these cash flows in discounted dollars. If the dollars are negative (bars below $0 line), the cumulative benefits do not outweigh the cost of the program up to that point in time. The program breaks even when the dollars reach $0. At this point, the total benefits to participants, taxpayers, and others, are equal to the cost of the program. If the dollars are above $0, the benefits of the program exceed the initial investment. |
Harrell, A., Cavanagh, S., & Sridharan, S. (1999). Evaluation of the Children At Risk Program: Results 1 year after the end of the program (Research in Brief). Washington, DC: National Institute of Justice.
Harrell, A.V., Cavanaugh, S.E., & Sridharan, S. (1998). Impact of the Children at Risk program: Comprehensive final report II. Washington, DC: The Urban Institute.
Mihalic, S., Huizinga, D., Ladika, A., Knight, K., & Dyer, C. (2011). Bibliography: CASASTART final report (Award Number 58328). Princeton, NJ: The Robert Wood Johnson Foundation.