ALL |
META-ANALYSIS |
CITATIONS |
|
Benefit-Cost Summary Statistics Per Participant | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benefits to: | ||||||
Taxpayers | $5,149 | Benefits minus costs | $18,142 | |||
Participants | $7 | Benefit to cost ratio | n/a | |||
Others | $9,737 | Chance the program will produce | ||||
Indirect | $2,799 | benefits greater than the costs | 99% | |||
Total benefits | $17,692 | |||||
Net program cost | $449 | |||||
Benefits minus cost | $18,142 | |||||
Meta-Analysis of Program Effects | ||||||||||||
Outcomes measured | Treatment age | No. of effect sizes | Treatment N | Adjusted effect sizes(ES) and standard errors(SE) used in the benefit - cost analysis | Unadjusted effect size (random effects model) | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First time ES is estimated | Second time ES is estimated | |||||||||||
ES | SE | Age | ES | SE | Age | ES | p-value | |||||
Technical violations^^ Violations of the conditions of an individual’s terms of probation, parole, or supervision. |
31 | 2 | 514 | -0.260 | 0.105 | 33 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.260 | 0.013 | |
Illicit drug use^ Adult use of illicit drugs that does not rise to the level of “disordered.” When possible, we exclude cannabis/marijuana use from this outcome. |
31 | 4 | 962 | -0.287 | 0.115 | 31 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.287 | 0.013 | |
Illicit drug use disorder Clinical diagnosis of illicit drug use disorder or symptoms measured on a validated scale. When possible, we exclude cannabis/marijuana use disorder from this outcome. |
31 | 3 | 777 | -0.050 | 0.249 | 31 | 0.000 | 0.187 | 34 | -0.050 | 0.842 | |
Crime Any criminal conviction according to court records, sometimes measured through charges, arrests, incarceration, or self-report. |
31 | 9 | 4570 | -0.183 | 0.072 | 33 | -0.183 | 0.072 | 43 | -0.174 | 0.023 |
Detailed Monetary Benefit Estimates Per Participant | ||||||
Affected outcome: | Resulting benefits:1 | Benefits accrue to: | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taxpayers | Participants | Others2 | Indirect3 | Total |
||
Crime | Criminal justice system | $5,139 | $0 | $9,728 | $2,569 | $17,437 |
Illicit drug use disorder | Labor market earnings associated with illicit drug abuse or dependence | $3 | $6 | $0 | $0 | $8 |
Health care associated with illicit drug abuse or dependence | $8 | $1 | $8 | $4 | $21 | |
Mortality associated with illicit drugs | $0 | $0 | $0 | $1 | $1 | |
Program cost | Adjustment for deadweight cost of program | $0 | $0 | $0 | $225 | $225 |
Totals | $5,149 | $7 | $9,737 | $2,799 | $17,692 | |
Detailed Annual Cost Estimates Per Participant | ||||
Annual cost | Year dollars | Summary | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Program costs | $3,972 | 2016 | Present value of net program costs (in 2022 dollars) | $449 |
Comparison costs | $4,353 | 2016 | Cost range (+ or -) | 10% |
Benefits Minus Costs |
Benefits by Perspective |
Taxpayer Benefits by Source of Value |
Benefits Minus Costs Over Time (Cumulative Discounted Dollars) |
The graph above illustrates the estimated cumulative net benefits per-participant for the first fifty years beyond the initial investment in the program. We present these cash flows in discounted dollars. If the dollars are negative (bars below $0 line), the cumulative benefits do not outweigh the cost of the program up to that point in time. The program breaks even when the dollars reach $0. At this point, the total benefits to participants, taxpayers, and others, are equal to the cost of the program. If the dollars are above $0, the benefits of the program exceed the initial investment. |
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