ALL |
META-ANALYSIS |
CITATIONS |
|
Benefit-Cost Summary Statistics Per Participant | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benefits to: | ||||||
Taxpayers | $3,764 | Benefits minus costs | $12,027 | |||
Participants | $7,316 | Benefit to cost ratio | $226.44 | |||
Others | $426 | Chance the program will produce | ||||
Indirect | $574 | benefits greater than the costs | 72% | |||
Total benefits | $12,080 | |||||
Net program cost | ($53) | |||||
Benefits minus cost | $12,027 | |||||
Meta-Analysis of Program Effects | ||||||||||||
Outcomes measured | Treatment age | No. of effect sizes | Treatment N | Effect sizes (ES) and standard errors (SE) used in the benefit-cost analysis | Unadjusted effect size (random effects model) | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First time ES is estimated | Second time ES is estimated | |||||||||||
ES | SE | Age | ES | SE | Age | ES | p-value | |||||
Crime Any criminal conviction according to court records, sometimes measured through charges, arrests, incarceration, or self-report. |
12 | 3 | 362 | -0.005 | 0.166 | 16 | -0.005 | 0.166 | 24 | -0.013 | 0.936 | |
Alcohol use disorder Clinical diagnosis of alcohol use disorder or symptoms measured on a validated scale. |
12 | 1 | 488 | -0.187 | 0.154 | 22 | -0.187 | 0.154 | 32 | -0.491 | 0.002 | |
Alcohol use before end of middle school Any use of alcohol by the end of middle school, typically by age 13. |
12 | 1 | 386 | -0.129 | 0.208 | 13 | -0.129 | 0.208 | 13 | -0.341 | 0.101 | |
Cannabis use before end of middle school Any use of cannabis by the end of middle school, typically by age 13. |
12 | 1 | 386 | -0.112 | 0.208 | 13 | -0.112 | 0.208 | 13 | -0.294 | 0.157 | |
Smoking before end of middle school Any smoking of tobacco by the end of middle school, typically by age 13. |
12 | 1 | 386 | -0.193 | 0.208 | 13 | -0.193 | 0.208 | 13 | -0.507 | 0.015 | |
Regular smoking Smoking tobacco on a regular basis. |
12 | 1 | 488 | -0.168 | 0.154 | 21 | -0.168 | 0.154 | 31 | -0.442 | 0.004 | |
Alcohol use before end of high school Any use of alcohol by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18. |
12 | 1 | 500 | -0.019 | 0.152 | 16 | -0.019 | 0.152 | 18 | -0.050 | 0.743 | |
Smoking before end of high school Any smoking of tobacco by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18. |
12 | 1 | 500 | -0.052 | 0.152 | 16 | -0.052 | 0.152 | 18 | -0.138 | 0.367 | |
Cannabis use before end of high school Any use of cannabis by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18. |
12 | 1 | 500 | -0.046 | 0.152 | 16 | -0.046 | 0.152 | 18 | -0.120 | 0.431 | |
Major depressive disorder Clinical diagnosis of major depression or symptoms measured on a validated scale. |
12 | 2 | 438 | -0.081 | 0.190 | 14 | 0.000 | 0.310 | 16 | -0.111 | 0.558 | |
Externalizing behavior symptoms Symptoms of externalizing behavior (e.g., aggressive, hostile, or disruptive behavior) measured on a validated scale. |
12 | 2 | 6957 | -0.009 | 0.017 | 13 | -0.005 | 0.011 | 16 | -0.010 | 0.584 | |
Cannabis use disorder Clinical diagnosis of cannabis use disorder or symptoms measured on a validated scale. |
12 | 1 | 488 | -0.091 | 0.154 | 22 | -0.091 | 0.154 | 32 | -0.238 | 0.123 | |
Test scores Standardized, validated tests of academic achievement. |
12 | 1 | 6457 | -0.008 | 0.018 | 13 | -0.006 | 0.019 | 17 | -0.008 | 0.668 | |
Cannabis use^ Adult use of cannabis that does not rise to the level of “disordered.” |
12 | 1 | 488 | -0.047 | 0.154 | 21 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.125 | 0.418 | |
Grade point average^ Non-standardized measure of student performance calculated across subjects. |
12 | 1 | 500 | -0.023 | 0.152 | 16 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.062 | 0.685 | |
Alcohol use^ Adult use of alcohol that does not rise to the level of “problem” or “disordered.” |
12 | 1 | 488 | -0.075 | 0.154 | 21 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.197 | 0.201 | |
School attendance^ Number or percentage of school days present in a given enrollment period. |
12 | 2 | 6957 | 0.001 | 0.017 | 13 | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0.001 | 0.949 | |
Substance use^ Nonspecified substance use (i.e., alcohol, cannabis, or illicit drugs) that does not rise to the level of "disordered." |
12 | 1 | 6457 | 0.005 | 0.018 | 13 | n/a | n/a | n/a | 0.005 | 0.789 | Click to expand | Click to collapse |
Detailed Monetary Benefit Estimates Per Participant | ||||||
Affected outcome: | Resulting benefits:1 | Benefits accrue to: | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taxpayers | Participants | Others2 | Indirect3 | Total |
||
Crime | Criminal justice system | $43 | $0 | $105 | $22 | $170 |
Test scores | Labor market earnings associated with test scores | ($332) | ($782) | ($412) | $0 | ($1,525) |
Regular smoking | Health care associated with smoking | $694 | $196 | $716 | $347 | $1,952 |
Mortality associated with smoking | $6 | $14 | $0 | $228 | $248 | |
Alcohol use disorder | Labor market earnings associated with alcohol abuse or dependence | $3,345 | $7,879 | $0 | $0 | $11,223 |
Property loss associated with alcohol abuse or dependence | $0 | $9 | $16 | $0 | $25 | |
Major depressive disorder | K-12 grade repetition | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Externalizing behavior symptoms | K-12 special education | $9 | $0 | $0 | $4 | $13 |
Program cost | Adjustment for deadweight cost of program | $0 | $0 | $0 | ($27) | ($27) |
Totals | $3,764 | $7,316 | $426 | $574 | $12,080 | |
Detailed Annual Cost Estimates Per Participant | ||||
Annual cost | Year dollars | Summary | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Program costs | $23 | 2018 | Present value of net program costs (in 2023 dollars) | ($53) |
Comparison costs | $0 | 2018 | Cost range (+ or -) | 30% |
Benefits Minus Costs |
Benefits by Perspective |
Taxpayer Benefits by Source of Value |
Benefits Minus Costs Over Time (Cumulative Discounted Dollars) |
The graph above illustrates the estimated cumulative net benefits per-participant for the first fifty years beyond the initial investment in the program. We present these cash flows in discounted dollars. If the dollars are negative (bars below $0 line), the cumulative benefits do not outweigh the cost of the program up to that point in time. The program breaks even when the dollars reach $0. At this point, the total benefits to participants, taxpayers, and others, are equal to the cost of the program. If the dollars are above $0, the benefits of the program exceed the initial investment. |
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