ALL |
META-ANALYSIS |
CITATIONS |
|
Benefit-Cost Summary Statistics Per Participant | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benefits to: | ||||||
Taxpayers | $737 | Benefits minus costs | $2,327 | |||
Participants | $1,288 | Benefit to cost ratio | $28.83 | |||
Others | $246 | Chance the program will produce | ||||
Indirect | $139 | benefits greater than the costs | 64% | |||
Total benefits | $2,411 | |||||
Net program cost | ($84) | |||||
Benefits minus cost | $2,327 | |||||
Meta-Analysis of Program Effects | ||||||||||||
Outcomes measured | Treatment age | No. of effect sizes | Treatment N | Effect sizes (ES) and standard errors (SE) used in the benefit-cost analysis | Unadjusted effect size (random effects model) | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First time ES is estimated | Second time ES is estimated | |||||||||||
ES | SE | Age | ES | SE | Age | ES | p-value | |||||
Alcohol use before end of high school Any use of alcohol by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18. |
15 | 1 | 270 | -0.068 | 0.104 | 18 | -0.068 | 0.104 | 18 | -0.068 | 0.513 | |
Smoking before end of high school Any smoking of tobacco by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18. |
15 | 4 | 5973 | -0.102 | 0.100 | 16 | -0.102 | 0.100 | 18 | -0.102 | 0.308 | |
Cannabis use before end of high school Any use of cannabis by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18. |
15 | 1 | 270 | 0.017 | 0.104 | 18 | 0.017 | 0.104 | 18 | 0.017 | 0.868 |
Detailed Monetary Benefit Estimates Per Participant | ||||||
Affected outcome: | Resulting benefits:1 | Benefits accrue to: | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taxpayers | Participants | Others2 | Indirect3 | Total |
||
Alcohol use before end of high school | Labor market earnings associated with alcohol abuse or dependence | $611 | $1,439 | $0 | $0 | $2,050 |
Property loss associated with alcohol abuse or dependence | $0 | $2 | $3 | $0 | $5 | |
Smoking before end of high school | Health care associated with smoking | $212 | $60 | $219 | $106 | $597 |
Mortality associated with smoking | $2 | $4 | $0 | $73 | $79 | |
Cannabis use before end of high school | Criminal justice system | ($18) | $0 | ($45) | ($9) | ($72) |
Labor market earnings associated with cannabis abuse or dependence | ($91) | ($215) | $0 | $0 | ($306) | |
Health care associated with cannabis abuse or dependence | ($11) | ($2) | ($12) | ($5) | ($30) | |
Program cost | Adjustment for deadweight cost of program | $0 | $0 | $0 | ($26) | $88 |
Totals | $737 | $1,288 | $246 | $139 | $2,411 | |
Detailed Annual Cost Estimates Per Participant | ||||
Annual cost | Year dollars | Summary | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Program costs | $68 | 2012 | Present value of net program costs (in 2022 dollars) | ($84) |
Comparison costs | $0 | 2012 | Cost range (+ or -) | 10% |
Benefits Minus Costs |
Benefits by Perspective |
Taxpayer Benefits by Source of Value |
Benefits Minus Costs Over Time (Cumulative Discounted Dollars) |
The graph above illustrates the estimated cumulative net benefits per-participant for the first fifty years beyond the initial investment in the program. We present these cash flows in discounted dollars. If the dollars are negative (bars below $0 line), the cumulative benefits do not outweigh the cost of the program up to that point in time. The program breaks even when the dollars reach $0. At this point, the total benefits to participants, taxpayers, and others, are equal to the cost of the program. If the dollars are above $0, the benefits of the program exceed the initial investment. |
Aveyard, P., Cheng, K.K., Almond, J., Sherratt, E., Lancashire, R., Lawrence, T., Griffin, C., Evans, O. (1999). Cluster randomised controlled trial of expert system based on the transtheoretical ("stages of change") model for smoking prevention and cessation in schools. British Medical Journal, 319(7215), 948-952.
Hollis, J.F., Polen, M.R., Whitlock, E.P., et al. (2005). Teen reach: outcomes from a randomized, controlled trial of a tobacco reduction program for teens seen in primary medical care. Pediatrics, 115(4), 981-989.
Prokhorov, A., Kelder, S., Shegog, R., Murray, N., Peters, R., Agurcia-Parker, C., Cinciripini, P., ... Marani, S. (2008). Impact of A Smoking Prevention Interactive Experience (ASPIRE), an interactive, multimedia smoking prevention and cessation curriculum for culturally diverse high-school students. Nicotine & Tobacco Research, 10(9), 1477-1485.
Schinke, S.P., Schwinn, T.M., & Fang, L. (2010). Longitudinal outcomes of an alcohol abuse prevention program for urban adolescents. The Journal of Adolescent Health, 46(5), 451-457.