ALL |
META-ANALYSIS |
CITATIONS |
|
Benefit-Cost Summary Statistics Per Participant | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benefits to: | ||||||
Taxpayers | $167 | Benefits minus costs | ($49) | |||
Participants | $266 | Benefit to cost ratio | $0.88 | |||
Others | $80 | Chance the program will produce | ||||
Indirect | ($161) | benefits greater than the costs | 44% | |||
Total benefits | $352 | |||||
Net program cost | ($402) | |||||
Benefits minus cost | ($49) | |||||
Meta-Analysis of Program Effects | ||||||||||||
Outcomes measured | Treatment age | No. of effect sizes | Treatment N | Adjusted effect sizes(ES) and standard errors(SE) used in the benefit - cost analysis | Unadjusted effect size (random effects model) | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First time ES is estimated | Second time ES is estimated | |||||||||||
ES | SE | Age | ES | SE | Age | ES | p-value | |||||
Alcohol use before end of high school Any use of alcohol by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18. |
12 | 1 | 3749 | -0.013 | 0.023 | 16 | -0.013 | 0.023 | 18 | -0.035 | 0.128 | |
Smoking before end of high school Any smoking of tobacco by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18. |
12 | 1 | 3749 | -0.017 | 0.023 | 18 | -0.017 | 0.023 | 18 | -0.045 | 0.047 | |
Drinking and driving^ Official or self-reported drinking and driving—arrests, citations, or behavior. |
12 | 1 | 3749 | -0.004 | 0.023 | 18 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.011 | 0.624 | |
Cannabis use before end of high school Any use of cannabis by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18. |
12 | 1 | 3749 | -0.015 | 0.023 | 16 | -0.015 | 0.023 | 18 | -0.040 | 0.078 | |
Illicit drug use before end of high school Any use of illicit drugs by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 to 18. When possible, we exclude cannabis/marijuana use disorder from this outcome. |
12 | 1 | 3749 | -0.013 | 0.023 | 18 | -0.013 | 0.023 | 18 | -0.033 | 0.142 | |
Delinquent behavior^ Criminal or delinquent behavior that occurs outside of formal involvement with the justice system (i.e., behavior that does not result in arrests, charges, convictions, incarcerations) for young people. |
12 | 1 | 3749 | -0.022 | 0.023 | 16 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.057 | 0.012 |
Detailed Monetary Benefit Estimates Per Participant | ||||||
Affected outcome: | Resulting benefits:1 | Benefits accrue to: | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taxpayers | Participants | Others2 | Indirect3 | Total |
||
Alcohol use before end of high school | Labor market earnings associated with alcohol abuse or dependence | $110 | $258 | $0 | $0 | $367 |
Property loss associated with alcohol abuse or dependence | $0 | $0 | $1 | $0 | $1 | |
Smoking before end of high school | Mortality associated with smoking | $0 | $1 | $0 | $11 | $12 |
Cannabis use before end of high school | Criminal justice system | $15 | $0 | $37 | $8 | $60 |
Illicit drug use before end of high school | Health care associated with illicit drug abuse or dependence | $42 | $7 | $43 | $21 | $113 |
Program cost | Adjustment for deadweight cost of program | $0 | $0 | $0 | ($201) | ($201) |
Totals | $167 | $266 | $80 | ($161) | $352 | |
Detailed Annual Cost Estimates Per Participant | ||||
Annual cost | Year dollars | Summary | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Program costs | $67 | 2010 | Present value of net program costs (in 2022 dollars) | ($402) |
Comparison costs | $0 | 2010 | Cost range (+ or -) | 20% |
Benefits Minus Costs |
Benefits by Perspective |
Taxpayer Benefits by Source of Value |
Benefits Minus Costs Over Time (Cumulative Discounted Dollars) |
The graph above illustrates the estimated cumulative net benefits per-participant for the first fifty years beyond the initial investment in the program. We present these cash flows in discounted dollars. If the dollars are negative (bars below $0 line), the cumulative benefits do not outweigh the cost of the program up to that point in time. The program breaks even when the dollars reach $0. At this point, the total benefits to participants, taxpayers, and others, are equal to the cost of the program. If the dollars are above $0, the benefits of the program exceed the initial investment. |
Spoth, R., Redmond, C., Shin, C., Greenberg, M., Feinberg, M., & Schainker, L. (2013). PROSPER community-university partnership delivery system effects on substance misuse through 6 1/2 years past baseline from a cluster randomized controlled intervention trial. Preventive Medicine, 56, 190-196.
Spoth, R.L., Trudeau, L.S., Redmond, C., Shin, C., Greenberg, M.T., Feinberg, M.E., & Hyun, G.H. (2015). PROSPER partnership delivery system: Effects on adolescent conduct problem behavior outcomes through 6.5 years past baseline. Journal of Adolescence, 45, 44-55.