ALL |
META-ANALYSIS |
CITATIONS |
|
Benefit-Cost Summary Statistics Per Participant | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benefits to: | ||||||
Taxpayers | ($74) | Benefits minus costs | ($452) | |||
Participants | ($166) | Benefit to cost ratio | ($2.48) | |||
Others | ($11) | Chance the program will produce | ||||
Indirect | ($71) | benefits greater than the costs | 29% | |||
Total benefits | ($322) | |||||
Net program cost | ($130) | |||||
Benefits minus cost | ($452) | |||||
Meta-Analysis of Program Effects | ||||||||||||
Outcomes measured | Treatment age | No. of effect sizes | Treatment N | Effect sizes (ES) and standard errors (SE) used in the benefit-cost analysis | Unadjusted effect size (random effects model) | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First time ES is estimated | Second time ES is estimated | |||||||||||
ES | SE | Age | ES | SE | Age | ES | p-value | |||||
Alcohol use before end of high school Any use of alcohol by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18. |
17 | 2 | 5878 | 0.000 | 0.022 | 17 | 0.000 | 0.022 | 18 | -0.002 | 0.943 | |
Problem alcohol use Alcohol use reflecting problem behaviors (e.g., high frequency drinking, binge drinking, or drinking that has a high impact on daily life) for individuals who do not have an alcohol use disorder. |
17 | 2 | 5878 | 0.006 | 0.024 | 17 | 0.006 | 0.024 | 27 | 0.018 | 0.492 | |
Alcohol sales to minors^ Sales of alcohol to minors (youth under 21), often measured as buy rate or sales rate from surveys. |
17 | 5 | 822 | -0.105 | 0.077 | 17 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.324 | 0.001 |
Detailed Monetary Benefit Estimates Per Participant | ||||||
Affected outcome: | Resulting benefits:1 | Benefits accrue to: | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taxpayers | Participants | Others2 | Indirect3 | Total |
||
Problem alcohol use | Criminal justice system | $0 | $0 | ($6) | $0 | ($6) |
Labor market earnings associated with problem alcohol use | ($70) | ($165) | $0 | $0 | ($235) | |
Property loss associated with problem alcohol use | $0 | $0 | ($1) | $0 | ($1) | |
Health care associated with problem alcohol use | ($4) | ($1) | ($5) | ($2) | ($12) | |
Mortality associated with problem alcohol | $0 | $0 | $0 | ($3) | ($4) | |
Program cost | Adjustment for deadweight cost of program | $0 | $0 | $0 | ($65) | ($65) |
Totals | ($74) | ($166) | ($11) | ($71) | ($322) | |
Detailed Annual Cost Estimates Per Participant | ||||
Annual cost | Year dollars | Summary | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Program costs | $53 | 2015 | Present value of net program costs (in 2023 dollars) | ($130) |
Comparison costs | $0 | 2015 | Cost range (+ or -) | 30% |
Benefits Minus Costs |
Benefits by Perspective |
Taxpayer Benefits by Source of Value |
Benefits Minus Costs Over Time (Cumulative Discounted Dollars) |
The graph above illustrates the estimated cumulative net benefits per-participant for the first fifty years beyond the initial investment in the program. We present these cash flows in discounted dollars. If the dollars are negative (bars below $0 line), the cumulative benefits do not outweigh the cost of the program up to that point in time. The program breaks even when the dollars reach $0. At this point, the total benefits to participants, taxpayers, and others, are equal to the cost of the program. If the dollars are above $0, the benefits of the program exceed the initial investment. |
Flewelling, R.L., Grube, J.W., Paschall, M.J., Biglan, A., Kraft, A., Black, C., Hanley, S. M., ... Ruscoe, J. (2013). Reducing Youth Access to Alcohol: findings from a community-based randomized trial. American Journal of Community Psychology, 51, 264-277.
Grube, J.W. (1997). Preventing sales of alcohol to minors: Results from a community trial. Addiction, 92(Suppl. 2), S251-S260.
Wagenaar, A.C., Murray, D.M., Gehan, J.P., Wolfson, M., Forster, J.L., Toomey, T.L., Perry, C.L., Jones-Webb, R. (2000) Communities mobilizing for change on alcohol: Outcomes from a randomized community. Journal of Studies on Alcohol, 61(1), 85-94.