ALL |
META-ANALYSIS |
CITATIONS |
|
Benefit-Cost Summary Statistics Per Participant | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benefits to: | ||||||
Taxpayers | $1,156 | Benefits minus costs | $2,006 | |||
Participants | ($1,359) | Benefit to cost ratio | $1.98 | |||
Others | $4,456 | Chance the program will produce | ||||
Indirect | ($191) | benefits greater than the costs | 55% | |||
Total benefits | $4,062 | |||||
Net program cost | ($2,056) | |||||
Benefits minus cost | $2,006 | |||||
Meta-Analysis of Program Effects | ||||||||||||
Outcomes measured | Treatment age | No. of effect sizes | Treatment N | Effect sizes (ES) and standard errors (SE) used in the benefit-cost analysis | Unadjusted effect size (random effects model) | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First time ES is estimated | Second time ES is estimated | |||||||||||
ES | SE | Age | ES | SE | Age | ES | p-value | |||||
Alcohol use before end of high school Any use of alcohol by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18. |
15 | 1 | 56 | 0.134 | 0.229 | 15 | 0.134 | 0.229 | 18 | 0.258 | 0.261 | |
STD risky behavior^ For youth, this outcome includes unprotected sex and other behaviors. For high-risk drug users, this also includes intravenous drug use. |
15 | 1 | 20 | -1.042 | 0.337 | 15 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -2.369 | 0.001 | |
Smoking before end of high school^^ Any smoking of tobacco by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18. |
15 | 1 | 20 | -0.529 | 0.322 | 15 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -1.203 | 0.001 | |
Cannabis use before end of high school Any use of cannabis by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 and 18. |
15 | 1 | 56 | -0.123 | 0.229 | 15 | -0.123 | 0.229 | 18 | -0.237 | 0.301 | |
Disruptive behavior disorder symptoms Clinical diagnosis of a disruptive behavior disorder (e.g., conduct disorder, oppositional defiant disorder) or symptoms measured on a validated scale. |
15 | 2 | 93 | -0.112 | 0.175 | 15 | -0.062 | 0.108 | 18 | -0.374 | 0.160 | |
Illicit drug use before end of high school Any use of illicit drugs by the end of high school, typically between ages 14 to 18. When possible, we exclude cannabis/marijuana use disorder from this outcome. |
15 | 2 | 169 | -0.339 | 0.369 | 15 | -0.339 | 0.369 | 18 | -0.864 | 0.310 | |
Problem alcohol use^^ Alcohol use reflecting problem behaviors (e.g., high frequency drinking, binge drinking, or drinking that has a high impact on daily life) for individuals who do not have an alcohol use disorder. |
15 | 1 | 20 | -0.829 | 0.330 | 15 | n/a | n/a | n/a | -1.884 | 0.001 | |
Crime Any criminal conviction according to court records, sometimes measured through charges, arrests, incarceration, or self-report. |
15 | 1 | 140 | -0.174 | 0.124 | 20 | -0.174 | 0.124 | 28 | -0.335 | 0.007 |
Detailed Monetary Benefit Estimates Per Participant | ||||||
Affected outcome: | Resulting benefits:1 | Benefits accrue to: | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taxpayers | Participants | Others2 | Indirect3 | Total |
||
Crime | Criminal justice system | $1,301 | $0 | $3,234 | $650 | $5,185 |
Labor market earnings associated with high school graduation | $646 | $1,523 | $829 | $0 | $2,999 | |
Costs of higher education | ($98) | ($149) | ($45) | ($49) | ($341) | |
Disruptive behavior disorder symptoms | K-12 grade repetition | $16 | $0 | $0 | $8 | $23 |
K-12 special education | $71 | $0 | $0 | $36 | $107 | |
Health care associated with disruptive behavior disorder | $431 | $122 | $444 | $215 | $1,212 | |
Alcohol use before end of high school | Labor market earnings associated with alcohol abuse or dependence | ($1,209) | ($2,848) | $0 | $0 | ($4,057) |
Property loss associated with alcohol abuse or dependence | $0 | ($4) | ($7) | $0 | ($10) | |
Mortality associated with alcohol | ($1) | ($3) | $0 | ($23) | ($28) | |
Program cost | Adjustment for deadweight cost of program | $0 | $0 | $0 | ($1,028) | ($1,028) |
Totals | $1,156 | ($1,359) | $4,456 | ($191) | $4,062 | |
Detailed Annual Cost Estimates Per Participant | ||||
Annual cost | Year dollars | Summary | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Program costs | $2,595 | 2015 | Present value of net program costs (in 2023 dollars) | ($2,056) |
Comparison costs | $868 | 2010 | Cost range (+ or -) | 20% |
Benefits Minus Costs |
Benefits by Perspective |
Taxpayer Benefits by Source of Value |
Benefits Minus Costs Over Time (Cumulative Discounted Dollars) |
The graph above illustrates the estimated cumulative net benefits per-participant for the first fifty years beyond the initial investment in the program. We present these cash flows in discounted dollars. If the dollars are negative (bars below $0 line), the cumulative benefits do not outweigh the cost of the program up to that point in time. The program breaks even when the dollars reach $0. At this point, the total benefits to participants, taxpayers, and others, are equal to the cost of the program. If the dollars are above $0, the benefits of the program exceed the initial investment. |
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